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日期:2022-09-08 08:24


Individual Assignment

Due date: 13:00 on 13th October 2022 (Thursday)

Weight: This assignment is out of 20 marks and is worth 20% of your final grade

YOUR INSTRUCTIONS

There are 5 questions to this assignment.

a) For Qs 2, 3 and 4: You will need to upload your assignment via the link on Blackboard.

The file must be in PDF. You can submit your assignment multiple times until the due

date. However, only the last submission will be marked. You would also need to submit

this file through TurnItIn for plagiarism analysis (see more information below).

b) For Q1 and Q5, Please submit ONLY one Excel workbooks that combines Q1 and Q5

(you can use multiple tabs/spreadsheets), via the Blackboard Assessment link.

1. For Q1, please use an Excel Spreadsheet to show your raw data, calculation and

explanation.

2. For Q5: you need to design an Excel Spreadsheet to show all your calculations.

c) Please make sure you submit both a PDF file and an Excel Spreadsheet using the one

submission attempt, rather than submitting each file using two attempts. That is

because each attempt will overwrite all previous attempts including the files submitted

in those attempts.

Please make sure you have your full name and student number on every page of your

assignment (i.e., insert a Header).

Your PDF document should be typed in Times New Roman font, size 12. The

assignment should be double spaced and have margins of 2.54 cm.

The teaching staff will not answer any questions regarding the assignment as this gives

students an unfair advantage over others. However, you may post any questions to the

assignment discussion board on Blackboard and they will be answered there.

Note that your assignment will be analysed for plagiarism using TurnItIn. Once you are

satisfied with the TurnItIn similarity report for your PDF file, that copy becomes your

final copy. See for instructions https://www.library.uq.edu.au/library-services/turnitin-

assignments (link on BB with the assignment). Please submit your PDF version of your

file to TurnItIn as well, in addition to the instruction in (c) above.

Late submissions will lose marks as per the ECP.

Please ensure you reference appropriately and correctly in each question. For example,

your references for Q1 should be at the end of Q1, NOT at the end of the document.

2

Please start each question on a separate page.

In terms of word count, please use a maximum of 150 words per mark as a guide. For

example, 2 marks = 300 words max)

3

Questions 1 to 4: International Monetary System/International Parity

Conditions/Balance of Payments [14 marks in total]

In this part of the assignment, you will be investigating the cryptocurrency market and

international parity conditions.

1) Using daily close data, please plot the following two exchange rates on the same chart:

i) the exchange rate between RMB and USD from 1 July 2017 to 30 June 2022; and

ii) the exchange rate between Bitcoin (BTC) and USD from 1 July 2017 to 30 June

2022.

Indicate one specific point on each of these two lines where the trend changes, and

provide some reason(s) why this is the case.

(Hint: Please clearly mark the legend and the relevant information on the axes, and

provide data sources. You can use the left axis for the RMB/USD exchange rate,

while using the right axis for the BTC/USD exchange rate. Please note that you

should create a chart on your own rather than copying from other sources.)

(4 marks)

2) El Salvador became the first country to adopt bitcoin as a legal tender on 7 Sept 2021.

Do you think this is the right move? And why? (2 marks)

3) Please briefly comment on the rationale of the cash rate decisions from the Reserve

Bank of Australia between 1 April till 30 Sept 2022. Which industries will likely to be

the winners or losers of these cash rate decisions, and discuss why? (3 marks)

4) According to CNN, Sri Lankan Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe said that his

country was “bankrupt” on 5 July 2022. A Wall Street Journal article by Tankah Ishan

(2022)1 mentioned that some critics argued that loans from Beijing may play a role in

this so-called “debt-trap diplomacy”, meaning loans were granted to make the country

dependent on China. Please discuss whether you agree or disagree with the criticism

above, and why. (3 marks)

Note: 2 marks will be allocated for correct grammar and clear and logical writing.

1 You can obtain the article from WSJ directly via the UQ library or it is available to download from the

assignment folder via Blackboard. Sri Lanka's Debt Crisis Tests China's Role as Financier to Poor Countries;

Developing world faces a credit crunch, but the biggest lender of all has been slow to cooperate with Western-

style rescues. Tankha, Ishan. Wall Street Journal (Online); New York, N.Y. [New York, N.Y]. 13 July 2022

4

Q5 International Portfolio Theories [Total: 6 marks]

For Part 2, you only need to submit your designed spreadsheet (no other files, i.e., PDF) via

Blackboard.

Using the monthly return data for USA (U), China (C) and the Japan (J) between Jan 2000 and

June 2022, calculate the following three items for Countries U, C and J:

(3 marks)

a) Annualised mean returns

b) Annualised standard deviation of returns

c) Return covariances between these three countries

Please present the following table with answers in your excel spreadsheet. Please include the

raw data and the formula you used in your excel spreadsheet.

Country U Country C Country J

Yearly Mean Return

Yearly Standard deviation (Returns)

Portfolio Risk (% pa)

Example ONLY: Efficient Frontier (2000 - 2020)

5

To come up with an efficient frontier, you will need to design your Excel spreadsheet to

calculate the optimal portfolio weight for each of these three countries (U, C and J) to maximise

the portfolio returns while achieving a range of target sigma.

[Hint: You may try any target sigma ranges between 0.10 and 0.30 and plot an incremental

interval of 0.01 (i.e., 0.10, 0.11, 0.12, …, 0.30) in your figure.]

To calculate the optimal portfolio weight, you can try to use the “solver” function in Excel.

Please note that portfolio weights are not restricted to positive values only.

You must save the answer for target sigma = 0.15 as a scenario in your Excel spreadsheet for

marking. For example, please save your answer for (Q5d) as “Q5d”.


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